As 2025 draws to a close, Donald Trump’s supportive stance to cryptocurrency has failed to be enough to support the industry’s gains, previously the source of market-wide optimism and excitement. The last few months of the year have seen roughly $1 trillion in market capitalization erased from the crypto market, despite bitcoin hitting an all-time-high price above $125,000 in early October.
The October price peak proved temporary. The flagship cryptocurrency's value tumbled just days later following a declaration of 100% tariffs on China created turmoil throughout financial markets in mid-October. Digital asset markets saw a staggering $19 billion wiped out in 24 hours – the largest liquidation event ever documented. The second-largest crypto, Ethereum, endured a 40 percent decline in price in the subsequent weeks.
Crypto advocates was delivered the supportive administration they were promised throughout the election. Within days of taking office, an executive order was signed that repealed restrictions on digital assets while enacting new favorable regulations alongside a federal task force focused on crypto.
“The digital asset industry is a vital component in innovation and economic development in the United States, and for America's global standing,” the order read.
Later in March, the announcement of a cryptocurrency reserve sparked a significant rally in the market, with prices of select included tokens soaring more than sixty percent. Bitcoin itself rose ten percent immediately following the was announced.
Digital assets reacts strongly to market sentiment and confidence in global markets, noted a leading analyst. It’s what is called a speculative investment, an asset which performs well when investors are feeling confident regarding economic conditions and are willing to assume greater risk.
“The current government might support crypto, however, trade wars and rising interest rates trump positive vibes,” the analyst added. “And it’s also just a reminder, especially for those in the sector, that macro forces really matter more than political support.”
In November, bitcoin underwent its most severe decline in value in several years, bringing the coin’s value below $81,000. While bitcoin regained some of that value subsequently, December began with another slump, a six percent fall triggered by a major corporate holder slashing its profit outlook due to falling digital asset values. Bitcoin’s price currently fluctuates around $90,000.
Some experts fear the sector is entering what's termed a prolonged bear market, an era of stagnation or losses. The last such downturn persisted from late 2021 through 2023. That period saw bitcoin slump around seventy percent from its peak.
“The recent crash does not reflect a shift in sentiment, but a collision of three structural factors: the lingering effects of a massive deleveraging event; investors fleeing risk spurred by geopolitical trade disputes; and, crucially, the potential unraveling of corporate crypto holdings,” explained a lab founder.
Another potential factor that may have shaken the crypto market is the downturn in share prices of AI stocks. “A key reason for the link to the AI cycle is that many bitcoin miners have shifted their energy towards new datacenters,” an expert said. “Pessimism in tech often spills over into the crypto space.”
Amid the worries over a crypto winter, notable players in the crypto space have expressed optimism about the long-term value of Bitcoin. One executive said “it is impossible” the price of bitcoin would hit zero and that 2025 will be remembered as the year “when crypto went from gray market to a well-lit establishment”. Another noted growing interest from institutional investors.
Analysts suggest this downturn fits the pattern of historical market cycles , adding that a deeply prolonged downturn may not be imminent.
“If I was looking at it from traditional bitcoin cycle, we are currently in a downtrend,” said one analyst. “However, it's clear, despite these major headwinds that are affecting the market, bitcoin has still managed to set a price above $80,000.”
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